Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.134411 0.157462 0.182840 0.212793 0.247117 0.285154 0.330434
2026-01-11 0.097406 0.128723 0.166994 0.216902 0.279936 0.356535 0.456261
2026-01-18 0.076179 0.110326 0.155456 0.218808 0.304664 0.416076 0.570525
2026-01-25 0.061674 0.096489 0.145617 0.218895 0.324055 0.467890 0.677461
2026-02-01 0.050474 0.084640 0.135748 0.216164 0.337463 0.511060 0.774958
2026-02-08 0.041812 0.074757 0.126748 0.212616 0.348068 0.549886 0.868384
2026-02-15 0.034116 0.064889 0.116005 0.204400 0.349821 0.574771 0.942262
2026-02-22 0.031379 0.062873 0.117478 0.215575 0.382624 0.649054 1.096674
2026-03-01 0.026398 0.055920 0.109490 0.209671 0.386541 0.677731 1.181298
2026-03-08 0.022064 0.049380 0.101206 0.201981 0.386199 0.698843 1.254591
2026-03-15 0.018854 0.044461 0.095145 0.197376 0.390419 0.727388 1.341743
2026-03-22 0.017011 0.042049 0.093508 0.200734 0.409075 0.781815 1.476550
2026-03-29 0.015681 0.040580 0.093659 0.207775 0.435645 0.852989 1.647284
2026-04-05 0.014239 0.038611 0.092528 0.212153 0.457644 0.917864 1.812081
2026-04-12 0.012779 0.036318 0.090356 0.214058 0.474852 0.975073 1.966875
2026-04-19 0.011380 0.033896 0.087527 0.214146 0.488251 1.025883 2.113043
2026-04-26 0.009985 0.031206 0.083674 0.211469 0.495561 1.065344 2.240259
2026-05-03 0.008732 0.028633 0.079706 0.207991 0.500716 1.100752 2.361837
2026-05-10 0.007412 0.025584 0.074089 0.199937 0.495040 1.113814 2.440174
2026-05-17 0.007160 0.025630 0.076327 0.210891 0.532507 1.217606 2.706365
2026-05-24 0.006196 0.023284 0.071958 0.205104 0.531414 1.241032 2.810859
2026-05-31 0.005292 0.020918 0.067151 0.197565 0.525423 1.253448 2.893197
2026-06-07 0.004616 0.019142 0.063695 0.193052 0.526082 1.280094 3.006893